Systematic Edge.

Fundamental Conviction.

Systematic Edge.

Fundamental Conviction.

Countervail is an event-driven investment firm managing a concentrated and long-only portfolio of publicly traded small and mid-cap equities. Our strategy blends systematic logic and rigorous fundamental diligence to identify opportunity among unloved companies facing misunderstood transitions and extremes in investor behavior.

Alpha lives in complexity.

The firm devotes substantial effort to building an edge in identifying and underwriting critical event-driven inflection points: capital allocation decisions, turnarounds, activist campaigns, and cyclical dislocations. Moments of complex change create alpha opportunities; our research is the clearest expression of that worldview.

RESEARCH

Only Mostly Dead

Cash-flowing and asset-rich firms are more likely to engage in successful corporate turnarounds

Only Mostly Dead

Cash-flowing and asset-rich firms are more likely to engage in successful corporate turnarounds

Only Mostly Dead

Cash-flowing and asset-rich firms are more likely to engage in successful corporate turnarounds

Trade, Tariffs, and the USD Convenience Yield

Tariffs will likely keep interest rates high, increase the risk of the US Dollar, and potentially sponsor a global re-positioning away from US equity markets

Trade, Tariffs, and the USD Convenience Yield

Tariffs will likely keep interest rates high, increase the risk of the US Dollar, and potentially sponsor a global re-positioning away from US equity markets

Trade, Tariffs, and the USD Convenience Yield

Tariffs will likely keep interest rates high, increase the risk of the US Dollar, and potentially sponsor a global re-positioning away from US equity markets

Pitch: PriceSmart, Inc. (NasdaqGS:PSMT)

PSMT equity holders get paid to own a put on the U.S. Dollar

Pitch: PriceSmart, Inc. (NasdaqGS:PSMT)

PSMT equity holders get paid to own a put on the U.S. Dollar

Pitch: PriceSmart, Inc. (NasdaqGS:PSMT)

PSMT equity holders get paid to own a put on the U.S. Dollar

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The Team

Countervail is owned and managed by Johann Colloredo-Mansfeld. Previously, Johann worked at Verdad Advisers, a multi-strategy quant fund. Johann is a graduate of Harvard University (B.A. ’17) and The University of Chicago (M.B.A ’24).

Contact

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